What did Elon Musk predict about technology in January 2025?
Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla ·
Yeah, I'm confident that we'll release unsupervised FSD California this year as well.
Zero CA driverless miles in 2025
Musk said Tesla would release unsupervised FSD in California in 2025. Tesla reported no autonomous test miles on California roads that year.
Tesla reported no autonomous test miles on California roads in 2025 and had applied for no permit beyond the entry-level one requiring a human safety driver, per state DMV records (Reuters via Automotive World). In March 2026 a CPUC official said Tesla's Bay Area service, run with human drivers, is not an autonomous vehicle service (Electrek).
Prediction vs. outcome · Technology
Added · Updated
The claim
- Date
- Where
- Tesla Q4 2024 earnings call, answering an investor question about Texas and California.